Swing Trade for 12th October

For last two trading sessions I have been giving recommendations for day trading some stocks futures and I hope you have made reasonable money from these recommendations during each day. Today I shall be giving some recommendations for swing trading with targets. However my suggestion will be that if you happen to make considerable profit within the day itself then do take that profit and square off your profitable positions.

HDIL

On 9th Oct I had recommended a buy for HDIL Oct futures at 357 and the scrip made a low of 356.1 before closing at 358.2. In case you had closed your trade on that day then its time to pick it up today anywhere between 352 to 362 for a target of 400 in 3/4 trading sessions. But if you are still holding it then ride it till 400. However if you achieve a target of 386 in today's trade then do grab it with both hands.

Asian Paint

Buy Oct Fut at 1500 for a target of 1700 in 3/4 sessions. However if you can get 1570 in today's trade then do take it.

Nagarconst

Buy Oct Fut between 164 to 166 for a target of 179.5 in 3/4 sessions. You may decide to exit trade if you can get a price of 171 in today's trade.

Day Trading Report Card For 09 Oct 2009

The report card for day trading recommendations given for 09 Oct 2009 in my last post reads as follows:-

1. HDIL bought at end of day at 357 and closed at 357.2. Since it was for day trading, the position was to be squared up with no profit no loss. (Day low 356.1)

2. Nagar Const bought at 164 and squared up between 169 and 172 ie at 170.5. This trade gave a profit of Rs 13000(6.5x2000). (Day low 162.05)

3.Canbk bought at 343 and closed at 342.85 with a loss of Rs 120(0.15x800). (Day low 340)

4.ICSA bought at 205 and closed at 202, giving a loss of Rs 3600 (3x1200). (Day low 202)

Net profit = 13000-120-3600-1000(brokerage)= 8280, say Rs 8000/-

ICSA Oct Fut on both days did give return ranging from Rs 2500 to Rs 4000. But on both these days profit was not taken and finally ended up taking loss at the end of day. Futures' Day Trading lessons need to be drawn from this ICSA trade.

Lesson No 1

If you are day trading with multiple positions of different scrips, and if you have made handsome profit in one position, then protect that profit for the day by exiting other positions which are giving normal profit.This should be done even when these positions may not have reached the targets you have in your mind for them.

So Futures It Is - Day Trade FOr 09 Oct

In my last post on 08 Oct 09 before Indian market opening, I had recommended three future stocks for day trading. Two were on the buy side and one was a sell. The report card reads like this:-

Ambuja Cement. Recommended sell at 96.25 or 100. No trade, so no profit no loss.

ICSA. Recommended buy at 206 to cover at 210. Trade took place but cover target not achieved. The position closed at 205.5 and therefore a loss of Rs 600 (lot size 1200).

BHEL. Recommended buy at 2470 with target of 2500. Trade took place and target achieved with a profit of Rs 4500 ( lot size 150).

Net Profit Rs 3500 approx after taking into account brokerage.

Day Trade Recommendations For 09 Oct 2009

Buy HDIL Oct Fut at 357 for target of 375/386.

Buy Nagar Const Oct Fut at 164 for target of 169/172.

Buy Canbk Oct Fut at 343 for target of 352/358.

Buy ICSA Oct Fut at 205 for target of 211/214.

If Your Future Is In Futures - Then No Options

There are many attributes you require if you want to be a successful Stock Futures' player. You need deep pocket, strong heart, accurate judgement, nimble footed, firmly flexible mind ( sounds oxymoronic !) , et al. But above all these you need Lady Luck on your side. And those who have that, they should not fritter away the opportunity to indulge in the game of stock futures. For such individuals some wonderful opportunities exist as of today which are presented as under. Take a look.

Ambuja Cement

In case initially market shows weakness on 08 Oct 09, then sell Oct futures at 96.25 for an intra-day target of 94. Since lot size is 4124 you can decide to book quick profit at 95 also. The other scenario is that the market shows initial exuberance of Reliance 1:1 bonus share and opens with bullish strength; then sell Oct futures of the scrip at 100 and cover your position at 97.5/98.5.

ICSA

If market opens with bearish look then buy Oct futures at 200.5 and then cover the position intra-day at 210. Since lot size is 1200 you can decide to exit position at 206 also. However if market opens with a bullish flurry then buy at 206 and sell at 210/217. With a little help from the market on 08 Oct 09 you may even see ICSA touch 221.

BHEL

With weak market opening buy Oct futures of BHEL of lot size 150 at 2415 and then cover it intra-day at 2465/2500. On the other hand if market opens on a strong note then buy Oct futures of the scrip at 2470 for a target of 2500/2560. With strong market continuing through the day BHEL may touch 2600 also.

Contrarian Picks - For Risk Takers

Contrarian investing can at times pay handsome dividends, provided it is weighed properly against various considered inputs. The general consensus of the market is not to be discounted but at times you stand to gain immensely by taking just the opposite stance to that of majority of market participants. When financial institutions were falling like nine pins and every shade of investor treated them like lepers, Warren Buffett took a contrarian view. He went ahead and bought $ 5 bn preferred stocks of Goldman Sachs. One year down the line he grew richer by $ 3 bn.

There have been many instances of taking calculated and considered risk by contrarian investors and succeeding with a bang. Laxmi Mittal of Arcelor Mittal fame bought distressed steel plants around the globe when steel as a commodity was in slump and prospects looked bleak. Result of that brave contrarian investment decision is for all to see.

Coming to Indian markets as of now, to my mind there are some distressed stocks one can consider for contrarian investment. It should be done with a view that one is ready to average the same scrips at lower levels and hold for long term if short term view does not work out. Under no circumstances should one discard the stocks at loss if the trade goes unfavourable. Lets see some of these scrip in succeeding paragraphs.

Unitech

Buy the scrip at current market price ( closing price on 06 Oct was 98.75) for initial target of 160 to 180. If trade goes awry then keep accumulating from 83 to level of 60 in small packets and hold till its long term target of 320/330.

Suzlon

Buy the scrip at current market price (closing price on 06 Oct was 87.15) for initial target of 140. In case trade goes in opposite direction then start accumulating from 77 to the level of 70 in small packets and then hold for for its long term target of 320.

Rcom

Buy the scrip at 250 ( closing price on 06 Oct was 268.3) for initial target of 350. In case trade goes in opposite direction then start accumulating from 220 to the level of 180 in small packets and then hold for its long term target of 600.