Wednesday, September 23, 2009

PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS - SAMPLE 6 (KOTHIWALA)

Continuing with our series of portfolio analysis , now we have portfolio of Mr Kothiwala. He has converted most of his portfolio into cash and wisely so. We have to learn to take profit home, otherwise there is no point in investing our time and money in the stock market. But my only piece of advice to Mr Kothiwala would be to start assessing the different sectors and good companies therein, so that he can re-enter the market after the expected correction. Be that as it may, let us now begin to analyse the portfolio or what remains of it!

GVK Power
Holding 2700 shares at an average price of Rs 46. Closing price on 22 Sep 09 was 46.6
6 mnth tgt- 65, 1 yr tgt- 100
You may consider exiting from 50 % of total holding of the scrip at current market price. This will be on a no-profit-no-loss basis, and will give you the capital to re-enter at lower level. This is because GVK power may test 27/30 level in the coming correction. Buy back your shares at 30 and hold for one year's target of 100. Exit complete position once target is achieved.

JP Associate
Holding 500 shares at an average price of Rs 220. Closing price on 22 Sep 09 was 249.8
6 mnth tgt- 390, 1 yr tgt- 500
JP Associate can correct to 170 level. If that happens then pick up 500 additional shares at around 170 and hold your total position of 1000 shares. Sell your complete position at the target price of 500.

Suzlon
Holding 200 shares at an average price of Rs 90. Closing price on 22 Sep 09 was 100.8
6 mnth tgt- 180, 1 yr tgt- 320
Suzlon is a bright candidate to be in any portfolio for the next one year. Hold the scrip and keep adding to your position in small tranches at every dip till 80. Accumulate at least 1000 shares in your portfolio for next one year. Exit your complete position at target price of 320.