Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Worried About Market? - Nifty Looks Good For 7800

Before Indian markets opened today, I had advised you to take urgent action to sell Indiacem April Futures position. Check out the post here.

Heeding my advice, one could sell Indiacem Apr Futures at 93. It  was bought at 87. That gave a profit of Rs 6.0 per share. One lot Indiacem Futures consists of 6000 shares.

Hence Profit made from one lot of Indicem Apr Fut = 6X6000 = Rs 36000/- 

Markets have been very quiet for better part of today. Hardly any directional movement worth the name was noticed in indices before 2PM. A sense of worry prevails amongst traders, what with US markets closing in negative in last session.

My view is that stocks are pausing after a stellar show in last session. I am saying so since Nifty looks good to touch 7800 in 2/3 days. 

Today Nifty closed at 7709, up by 37.5 points from yesterday's close. However the cause for our concern is that the banking sector did not rally in trade today. Let us hope tomorrow brings cheer to this sector.



Action Required to be Taken In Market Today

Indian markets spurred into action in the second half of last trading session. It was welcome relief to see green shoots sprouting out.

Let me first give the current status of 19 futures position that we are holding as per my recommendations in this post.

TATAPOWER Bought at 62.5, Closed at 67.85
JINDALSTEL : Bought at 64, Closed at 66.25
INDIACEM: Bought 87, Closed 92.35
RPOWER: Bought 50, Closed 51.6
IOB : Bought 30,Closed 30.75
ALBK: Bought 57,Closed 56.65
IDBI: Bought 71,Closed 68.05
PNB: Bought 87,Closed 83.55
SBI: Bought 195,Closed 189.1
UCOBANK: Bought 40,Closed 39.1
CANBK: Bought 194,Closed 188
KTKBANK: Bought 104,Closed 105.2
SYNDIBANK: Bought 67,Closed 68.65
BANKINDIA: Bought 98,Closed 93.15
ORIENTBANK: Bought 94,Closed 90

UNIONBANK: Bought 134,Closed 130.1
ANDHRABANK : Bought at 53, Closed at 53.45
HEXAWARE :  Bought at 268, Closed at 252.2
BANKBARODA : Bought at 150, Closed at 150

Action to be Taken Urgently Today in Trade
Indiacem Apr Futures was bought at 87 and the target given was 95 in this post. In last trading session Indiacem closed at 92.35 which means it is giving us substantial profit. Hence my recommendation is to square off this position at the opening price today.

Monday, April 11, 2016

Indian Markets Make Fascinating Bull Charge in Late Trade


Oh what a spectacular bull run in second half of trade! It was a secular bull charge, making almost every sector green in its wake.

Indian markets were flat to negative till 1 PM. And then, as if sparked by some tremendous news, got lifted magically. Nifty gained 116 points by close.

Not just Indian markets, Asian markets also got lifted and European markets are a sea of green as of now. Dow Jones Futures is indicating that US markets will open in firm green territory.

So what is cheering the entire global market so strongly? Dollar Index is slightly down, and Oil is slightly up as of publishing this post. I do not know of anything extraordinary that has happened or is expected to happen in global scenario which warrants this kind of bull run across all equity markets around the world.

If you know the reason of such positive action in markets, please feel free to share your thoughts with all of us. You can put your thoughts in the comments section of this post for the benefit of all of us. I will really appreciate that.


Sunday, April 10, 2016

Return Our Money Now - Track Down Stressed Assets of Banks

Banks have indiscriminately given loans to high and mighty without proper due diligence and adequate collaterals. These  loans have become stressed assets in the books of banks and has created this abnormal situation when Govt is considering recapitalizing the banks.

This means that more tax payers' money is being proposed to be pumped into banks. For that Bank Board Bureau has been constituted which I had mentioned in my previous post.

Today total stressed assets of PSU banks stand at Rs 4 lakh crores. But it is estimated that if we also consider loans that face the risk of being declared NPAs going forward, then the total value of stressed assets of banks will stand at Rs 8 lakh crores. What a royal mess!!

This is our hard earned money which the banks are giving away to robbers masquerading as corporate entities. It is time we demand our money back into bank coffers. Instead of doing that, financial wizards like RBI Gov are devising ways to recapitalize banks. This means that more tax payers' money will be garnered and given to banks so that they can facilitate more robbers to rob us. What irony!

Before recapitalizing the banks we want the list of willful defaulters to be made public. But our RBI Gov insists that we should not name and shame these defaulting entities. Mr Raghuram Rajan, if you are not even willing to name these defaulters who have looted the Indian economy, then one wonders what action you will take against them!

We want government to track down stressed assets of banks, seize all assets of defaulters including their personal assets, and return our money back into the vaults of banks. For doing that, if you need to create a separate Public Asset Recovery Company by an Act of Parliament, do so. We simply need our money back now!

Saturday, April 9, 2016

Bank Board Bureau Constituted - Will It Be Panacea For Ailing Banking Sector?

Bank Board Bureau (BBB) has been constituted by the Govt headed by former CAG head Mr Vinod Rai. BBB held its first meeting in Mumbai on 08 Apr 2016.


BBB consists of  chairman, three ex-officio members and three experts. In its first meeting BBB discussed the following :-
  1. Board level vacancies of Banks and ways to fill them.
  2. How to better recognize the stressed assets and solve them. 
  3. Strategies to re-capitalize banks.
  4. How to make banks more competitive in the changing financial landscape. 
It is noble for Govt to recognize the need to address the ills that has crippled the banking sector. But will BBB deliver if you have the same old people in its board who created the ill in the first place? Ex MDs and CMDs of banks are in board who in their tenure have created this mess. Moreover ex-officio members have to be from outside the financial agencies, since these very agencies had looked the other way while the NPA mess was being created.


One important aspect that must be included in the agenda of BBB is the means of recovery of bad loans and fixing responsibility of bank officials and regulatory bodies for allowing creation of these stressed assets over such a long time.

After all, we as tax payers need our money back from defaulting and fraud entities masquerading as industrialists. And we need it NOW, without anymore delaying tactics. Should we allow corporate houses of dubious credentials to rob us just like that? Is BBB listening?