Stock Futures Trading Made Ezy - Sesagoa

Trade in Sesagoa has not been an inspiring trade. On 9th Sep I gave a call to my subscribers at http://www.stockezy.com/  to buy Sesagoa Sep Futures at 312/315. Day low on that day was 310.1 and from that point Sesagoa has kept itself higher only. But still my subscribers could not benefit from buying a scrip at its recent low. It was because I was not comfortable with the negative news flow of this company and its group companies. But technically speaking it was the right time to buy. Reasons for buying this scrip were as follows:-

1. There was bullish MACD crossover by its trigger line from below zero.
2. My customized Slow Stochastic had reached its oversold position.
3. Bollinger bands had narrowed down considerably and the buy price was at the lower end of the band.
4. Upper band of Bollinger was forming around 330, indicating that the scrip should test this upper band as the first resistance.

Despite all the above reasons there was a degree of discomfort in short term due to negative developments of illegal mining in Orissa and also environmental issues. So this is what I had to say after the close of trading on 9th Sep.

Posted by Archana Debnath - Sat, Sep 11, 2010 9:35AM IST

“

On Monday,if Sesagoa opens gap up above 320, then hold with stop loss at 318 for tgt of 330/335. Otherwise exit at 318/319

”

On Monday, ie 13 Sep, the scrip did open gap up but only around 315.5. That made me give the target to exit at 320, because it was the first minor resistance of 10 day EMA. Instructions during trading hours on  13th Sep are reproduced below:-

Posted by Archana Debnath - Mon, Sep 13, 2010 9:42AM IST

“

All to exit at 320/322

”

By exiting this trade my subscribers could manage to book profit of about Rs 2000/3000 only in two trading sessions. However on 13th Sep  itself, Sesagoa made a day high of 327 and closed at 325. And the very next day the scrip made a day high of 332, but we had already exited without reaping the actual benefit. This is what fear can do to you. Wish I had more conviction in my target initially given out on 11th Sep.

Trading room activities are contained in this link : http://www.stockezy.com/opinions/7367/buy-sesagoa-sept-fut/ 

PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS - SAMPLE 3 ( X-8 )

In this series of Portfolio Analysis for Mr X , we have come to the end of the road with this tranche. Today we have analysed some assorted stocks which covers the complete portfolio of Mr X. I hope you have enjoyed reading the complete portfolio of Mr X as much as I have, analysing it. Here's last of the wilds for your eyes only!!

SESA GOA

Holding 100 shares at average price of 206. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 242.1.

6 mnth tgt - 300; 1 yr tgt - 470

Sesagoa seems to be in belligerent mood and is constantly trying to notch higher scales. But it has moved up too fast too soon. It is likely to touch level of 155. So take your profit now at current level and wait for correction. Pick up the scrip again at 160 and wait for a year to reap benefits from the scrip at 470.

BEL

Holding 10 shares at an average price of 1202. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 1371.

6 mnth tgt - 1800; 1 yr tgt - 2500

BEL will fall to sub 1300 initially and maybe jump to 1400. But that will be short lived and you may see the scrip trading at 1000 level in short term. Be conservative and take home your profit at current level. Re-enter the scrip at 1000 level and wait for one year to sell the same at 2500 level.

DLF

Holding 50 shares at average price of 525. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 398.6

6 mnth tgt - 700; 1 yr tgt - 900

DLF may correct from here but do not be disheartened. Hold the scrip for one year target of 900. If you can keep the share for a longer term of two years then you can see the target of 1200 also.

OMAXE

Holding 60 shares at average price of 310. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 123.2

6 mnth tgt - 180; 1 yr tgt - 240

Omaxe is again a hold for you. But you should add shares in your portfolio at 110 or even at current market price. You should sell this bundle of 120 shares at its one year's target of 240.

PARSVNATH

Holding 60 shares at average price of 300. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 119.2

6 mnth tgt - 195; 1 yr tgt - 240

Parsvnath may correct to 80 so keep adding this scrip in small packets till level of 80. Then hold the scrip for its one year's target of 240.

MUNDRA PORT

Holding 45 shares at average price of 440. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 534.

6 mnth tgt - 800; 1 yr tgt - 1100

Mundra Port may correct to 400 level. So book your profit now and again re-enter at 475 and keep adding to your position till 400. Then you can hold your position till target of 1100 is achieved.

ONGC

Holding 52 shares at average price of 850. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 1177.

6 mnth tgt - 1350; 1 yr tgt - 1900

ONGC is likely to correct to 975. So it will be best to book your profit now. Re-enter at 1000 level and hold till the target of 1900.

THERMAX

Holding 40 shares at average price of 598. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 478.1.

6mnth tgt - 650; 1 yr tgt - 890

Thermax will correct to 350 level. But do not worry. Just add 40 shares at 350 level for target of 890.

VOLTAMP

Holding 20 shares at average price of 690. Closing price on 11 Sep 09 was 840.

6 mnth tgt - 1150; 1 yr tgt - 1300

Voltamp is moving sideways in a tight band between 700 and 900. With market expected to correct in near future it would be advisable to book profit at current level. You can re-enter the scrip above 900 for a target of 1100. Otherwise wait for correction and enter the scrip at 600 level for a target of 1300.

VOLTAS

Holding 100 shares at average price of 122. Closed at 147 on 11 Sep 09.

6 mnth tgt - 195; 1 yr tgt - 300

Voltas is looking for excuse to fall in near term and hence would qualify for sell. It may fall to 90 level and so book your profit at current level. Pick up the stock again at around 90 for a target of 195 at least.