Friday, May 3, 2013

Reality Check For Investing In Real Estate

Time has come for looking towards Real Estate as an investment destination. But investment in stock markets at the present juncture is fraught with dangers and may give investors sleepless nights. I would like to qualify my statement here. I am only saying that stock markets will be difficult for investors, and not traders. Traders in stock market can still make money, but the same cannot be said for stock market investors.

While stock market investing can be an exercise in futility, investing now in real estate can turn out to be quite rewarding. At this point there is an overhang in stock markets, whereas real estate market is poised to gather steam. The only problem with investment in real estate is that the requirement of initial capital is dauntingly high. So in the succeeding paragraphs I am going to discuss strategies which can help investors to surmount this high barrier of capital requirement in property purchases.

Scenario # 1.
Let us consider options for those who do not have adequate capital for investment in real estate but have a residential property/flat which they have rented out. It is generally seen that a residential property/flat worth Rs 1,00,00,000/- (Rupees one crore) will fetch them a rent of about Rs 30,000/- (Rupees thirty thousand) per month. Now if they were to sell this residential property they would have Rs 1 crore in hand. They should invest this 1 crore in 12% assured return scheme in a commercial property. Then they will get a monthly return of 1% which works out to Rs 1,00,000/- (Rupees one lakh) per month. This means by shifting over from their residential property to commercial property they stand to gain Rs 70,000/- thousand per month as income. And if they judiciously choose their commercial property ( preferably IT Space) as per guidelines I had earlier given in this blog-post  http://archana-archdeb.blogspot.in/2013/04/investors-time-to-consider-shifting-to.html , then they will also get an exponential appreciation of their property over time. Hence we find that through the strategy outlined above, they will substantially increase their monthly income and also enhance chances of improved appreciation of their property.

Scenario # 2. 
Now  I will consider a strategy for those who do not have adequate capital for real estate investment and are staying in their own house without any other property. They can sell their house and invest the proceeds in a similar manner as in Scenario # 1 above. Supposing their house sells for Rs 1 crore. By investing this amount in assured return commercial property, they will have a monthly income of Rs 1 lakh as outlined in Scenario #1 above. They can shift to a rented house of similar status as their original house for which they will need to pay Rs 30,000/- as rent. That means after paying the rent, they will be left with Rs 70,000/- as spare income per month. Now they can go for buying a new residential flat under construction from a reputed builder by taking loan. EMIs for this loan can be easily met with the extra Rs 70,000/-. in hand, with lots of money to spare. I am saying this because till completion of  the flat, they will only be paying only the interest component of money disbursed by bank so far, called Pre-EMIs. And once the new residential property is ready for possession, they can move into their new flat, thereby saving the rent amount of  Rs 30,000/- they paid per month. So when the EMIs actually start, they will have Rs 1 lakh as income coming to them per month which will easily cater for these monthly EMIs. With this strategy they will have two properties(commercial plus residential) to appreciate in time, instead of just one residential property. Of course here they will have to initially pay 20% of the basic sale price (BSP) of the flat before sanction of  loan from a bank.

A reputed builder in Gurgaon who is selling commercial property(IT Space) with 12% assured return and whom I can vouch for is Vigneshwara Developers. For complete details you may contact their General Manager(Marketing) at this number : 09359210404

And yes, be ready for my next set of trading calls of May series which will be on the sell side. You will get my recommendations in this blog one day prior to entering the trades. Take care!!!

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Stock Markets Rally - But How Much Did We Profit?

Today has been the day of reckoning. For today was expiry day for stock futures and if you would recall we entered into trade on 15 Apr 2013 on my recommendations given for 12 stocks on 14 Apr 2013 in a blog-post which you can access here http://archana-archdeb.blogspot.in/2013/04/execute-your-trading-plan-now.html

Now let us evaluate how much each of the 12 stock recommendations were worth. Out of the 12 stocks, only 11 could be traded as Ibrealest buy price was not achieved. Since the recommendations were for stock futures of April contract all the trades got closed, today being expiry day. Read on below to find out the score of each buy recommendation of 11 stock futures :- 


1. UNITECH (Lot size - 10000)   
Bought at 24.25
Sold at 30 
Profit = 5.75 (30-24.25) x 10000 = Rs 57,500/-

2. JPASSOCIAT (Lot size - 4000)   
Bought at 70
Sold at 80 
Profit = 10 (80-70) x 4000 = Rs 40,000/-

3. AMBUJACEM (Lot size - 2000)   
Bought at 173
Sold at 190 
Profit = 17 (190-173) x 2000 = Rs 34,000/-

4. LT (Lot size - 250)   
Bought at 1355
Sold at 1490
Profit = 135 (1490-1355) x 250 = Rs 33,750/-

5. JSWENERGY (Lot size - 4000)   
Bought at 56.5
Sold at 64 
Profit = 7.5 (64-56.5) x 4000 = Rs 30,000/-

6. ACC (Lot size - 250)   
Bought at 1140
Sold at 1260
Profit = 120 (1260-1140) x 250 = Rs 30,000/-

7. JPPOWER (Lot size - 8000)   
Bought at 24.5
Sold at 27.5
Profit = 3 (27.5-24.5) x 8000 = Rs 24,000/-

8. RELINFRA (Lot size - 500)   
Bought at 340
Sold at 380 
Profit = 40 (380-340) x 500 = Rs 20,000/-
 
9. BHEL(Lot size - 1000)   
Bought at 178
Sold at 192
Profit = 14 (192-178) x 1000 = Rs 14,000/-

10. VOLTAS (Lot size - 2000)   
Bought at 79
Sold at 85
Profit = 6 (85-79) x 2000 = Rs 12,000/-

11. DLF (Lot size - 1000)   
Bought at 243
Sold at 253
Profit = 10 (253-243) x 1000 = Rs 10,000/-

Keep a lookout for the next set of recommendations for the May series in this blog.

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Feeds Through Feedburner Not timely - Will Be Terminated Henceforth

I have realized that feeds that you get through Feedburner in your mailbox are delivered to you quite late. This is creating problems for some of you to access market information from this blog in a timely fashion. Not getting timely actionable information is detrimental to entering market in a profitable manner as per my recommendations.

Hence from now onwards, I am going to switch off feeds from Feedburner to your mailbox, so that you stop getting delayed market information for trading. Those who want to take action in stock market as per tips provided in this blog, will now have to directly access the blog. For ease in accessing the blog you may download for Free my toolbar which is provided on the right hand side of the blog. This is Alexa toolbar (powered by Google) and is quite handy. You may also download my toolbar from the link provided below:-
https://s3.amazonaws.com/com.alexa.toolbar/atbp/EwM6Yb/download/index.htm

So go right ahead and download my toolbar in order to directly access this blog. I will keep giving you timely recommendations with precise entry and exit points of selected stocks so that you can make smart profits on a weekly basis. The present recommendations of 12 stocks, which I had given on 14 Apr 2013 in this blog-post http://archana-archdeb.blogspot.in/2013/04/execute-your-trading-plan-now.html, will  expire tomorrow i.e. on 25 Apr 2013. I will give you an update/result sheet of my present recommendations after market hours tomorrow.

I firmly believe that the present market conditions are going to provide immense profit making opportunities for short term traders. Hence you will be greatly benefited to enter trade in stock/index futures. Those who have realized the profit making potential of my recommendations can look forward to many more of my recommendations in this blog to make money out of stock market.

Sunday, April 21, 2013

Investors - Time To Consider Shifting To Buying Real Estate

Investors in Stock Market will have a tough time with fierce volatility expected in 2013-2014. What we are witnessing today is not correction, but beginning of a deep correction, if not a long term Bear Run. Frankly speaking, a deep correction or a cyclical Bear Run have almost the same devastating effect on investor money. Such market conditions are beneficial only to smart traders and that too in the futures market, because when the market is trending down then the futures trader can go along-with the market and sell  futures position. As the market slides lower, such a trader can make profit by buying (squaring off his position) at lower level. In this manner a trader can make profit when the stock market is correcting/ in the grips of a bear hug.

In second paragraph of my blog-post on 14 Apr 2013, I had emphasized this fact that the present time is not conducive for Investors in stock market. This time in the stock market is only for traders. You can access that post here :http://archana-archdeb.blogspot.in/2013/04/execute-your-trading-plan-now.html

Commodities Market
If it is not stocks, then can you invest in commodities? The answer is 'No'. The commodity prices also have nose dived and they are just precursor to even worst things to emerge in the commodities front. Gold which was considered by investors as safe haven, is no longer so. We can expect 2013-2014 as very bad years for investors in Gold. Single day historical drop in gold prices of more than Rs 1500/- is just telling us that Bear Phase in Gold has started. After a Bull Phase of nearly 12 years, one can easily conclude that the Bear Phase will last at least two years.

Property Market
The only place left in India to invest now is the property market. That too in select places where the growth potential is maximum. With lot of policy easing lined up by the Govt (as Finance Minister is making us believe) to attract foreign capital, property market is set to boom. What will help is softening of commodity prices, which in turn will lower inflation and that will give impetus to RBI Governor to lower rates. On the sidelines, the current account deficit (CAD) in India will improve with price of oil cooling off and gold losing its luster with investors thereby lowering demand and import bill. All said and done, real estate market is ready to take off and that is the place to park your money, if you are an investor.

For investing in real estate, three most important things to be kept in mind are as follows:-
  1. Your property investment  should be in a place with high potential of economic activities.
  2. The location of the property should be such that it has very high connectivity, by Road, Rail and Air.
  3. If you are looking at a property purely from investment angle, then it makes more economic sense to buy a commercial property, since the returns will be mush higher than residential property.
Besides what is given above, in places where you know Metro Rail is going to expand in a couple of years, such locations have an exponential potential of  giving you high returns. Place like the new Commercial Business District(CBD) of Gurgaon towards Manesar is one such sweet spot for investors and lot of builders have started executing their grandiose plans there. After a detailed survey and analysis, I would recommend one such builder and his not to be missed offer of Assured Return of 12% till completion of the project or five years whichever is later.

State of the Art commercial property is Aquarius IT Park at Sector 74 Gurgaon, being developed by Vigneshwara Builders and the only builder in this commercial business district of Gurgaon who has been given the permit to build a rooftop helipad. Those investors who are interested to get the exact details should contact their General Manager (marketing), Mobile No : 09359210404.

Best of Investing!!!

Market Stock Trading Trend

In case you are getting frustrated with trading a market which seems illogically volatile, then you should be reading this. It will give you insights to Market Stock Trading Trends that you can easily identify and make quick profit. But then in doing so you need to be nimble footed, you need to quickly take decision to enter the market with a stock futures trade, and without getting too emotional you should as quickly move out of the trade.by way of taking profit off the table. That is easy said than done, until you learn to identify such market stock trading trend. So here I am going to help you identify such trading trends in the ensuing paragraphs. Here we go!

Market Stock Trading Trend

Even when the market is not showing any long term or medium term trend, that is when the market is not trending, you will find smaller trends in the short term. Basically these trends are due to Wave nature of the market movement and can be profited from in near term trading. Let us first understand few basic principles of Market Stock Trading Trends :-
  1. Any market movement will take place in the form of Waves.
  2. These waves move up in five steps in Bull Run, and conversely move down in five steps in Bear Run.
  3. Movement of waves in five steps upwards means that the first step will go up, second step will come down but not below the low of first step, third step will go up higher than the high of first step, fourth step will come down but not lower than the high of first step and fifth step will either go higher than third step high or equal to that high.
  4. This means that for a market trending upwards, there will be three steps taking prices upwards and there will be two steps taking prices lower. Same will be the opposite case for markets trending lower.
  5. The three steps which take the prices upwards will again move in five-step waves, and the two steps taking prices lower will move down with three-step waves.
If we have assimilated this preliminary information about market movement, then we can apply this for short term trading. For identifying Market Stock Trading Trends in the short/near term in a daily stock chart, follow the instructions given below :-
  • See the daily chart of a stock and try and identify whether the short term trend is up or down.
  • If it is up then identify whether the third step of the wave has started or not.
  • Catch the third step of the wave as it begins and buy the stock. Remember the third step of the wave is generally the most profitable with minimum risk. This step will take the prices higher than the high of first step as discussed earlier.
  • As the prices go higher than the high of first step, keep a trailing stop loss and go with the price movement. As the price moves higher, move your trailing stop loss higher, till you are stopped out. This your your exit.
  • Since you are looking for very short term profit, trade with stock futures so that you can get a leveraged profit, which can be substantial. In terms of Return on Investment, your profit should be averaging 25% in 4/5 trading sessions.
Hope you have got some useful insights into Market Stock Trading Trends and can use this information to profit in this market. Always use your stop loss after entering any trade. In later posts I will be giving you tips on Swing Trading Indicators so that you can enhance your prowess in Market Stock Trading Trends.